From Upper Mazaruni to Gas-to-Energy: A history of failures
For almost every decade since Independence, Guyana has produced a project that promised transformation and delivered disappointment, and sometimes disaster. The 1970s had the Upper Mazaruni hydroelectric scheme and the Feed, Clothe and House programme. Later came nationalisation followed by Skeldon, Amaila Falls, the Specialty Hospital and a succession of initiatives that were supposed to alter the country’s economic future. Different leaders conceived them. Different ideologies inspired them. Different circumstances surrounded them. Yet they shared a common characteristic. They all promised transformation only to founder on the rocks of poor planning, weak financial management and inadequate execution.
The problem was seldom ambition. Guyana has never lacked ambition. Governments of every political persuasion have demonstrated a willingness to think big, spend big and promise big. The recurring weakness has been the inability to convert these into results. Costs exceed estimates. Timelines slip. Financing arrangements change. Assumptions prove unrealistic. Expectations outrun capacity. Some projects fail outright. Others survive but deliver substantially less than promised. The lesson from half a century of experience is not that Guyana should stop thinking big. It is that vision without planning, discipline and execution is often an expensive illusion.
That history deserves attention as the Government returned to Parliament this week seeking an additional $54.9 billion, including approximately $19 billion for the Gas-to-Energy Project. The issue is not the legality of supplementary appropriations. Governments sometimes require additional resources during the course of a fiscal year. The issue is competence. Four months after Parliament approved a budget of $1.558 trillion, one of the most important projects in the country’s history requires another substantial injection of public money.
If there is one project in Guyana whose financing requirements and implementation timetable ought to be known with a high degree of certainty, it is this one. It is expected to come on stream this year. As projects move towards completion, uncertainty should diminish rather than increase. Contracts are in execution. Costs should be clearer. Financing requirements should be better understood. Mature projects should become easier to forecast.
What makes the situation particularly troubling is that no project in Guyana’s history has enjoyed greater advantages, and limitless resources. President Ali retains responsibility for finance and remains the ultimate custodian of the country’s fiscal architecture. Vice President Jagdeo owns the policy dimensions of the project and has been its most visible advocate. Prime Minister Phillips is responsible for its execution and implementation. Dr Ashni Singh is responsible for financing, budgeting and appropriations. Few projects have enjoyed such concentrated political oversight. Few projects have had access to so much expertise, authority and information. If any project should have benefited from rigorous forecasting, disciplined budgeting and careful financial management, it is this one.
Yet four months after Parliament approved the budget, the Government is seeking another $19 billion for the project. The significance of that request lies not in the amount itself. Guyana has the money. Oil revenues have altered that reality. The significance lies in what the request reveals about the systems responsible for planning, forecasting and managing public expenditure.
Dr Ashni Singh has built his public reputation on competence in fiscal management. Few ministers have projected greater confidence in their command of public finance, budgeting and macroeconomic management. Guyanese have repeatedly been invited to judge the Government’s stewardship by the quality of its management of the public finances. The supplementary request therefore raises an unavoidable question. Were the original estimates wrong, or was Parliament presented with figures that should never have inspired confidence in the first place? Neither answer reflects well on those responsible for preparing and defending the numbers.
In any serious organisation, a variance of this magnitude on a flagship investment would trigger difficult questions. How were the original estimates prepared? What assumptions proved wrong? Why were the financing requirements not foreseen? What controls failed? Yet in Guyana’s public sector, departures from approved estimates increasingly risk becoming normalised. The danger is not the additional expenditure itself. The danger is the gradual acceptance of lower standards of planning and accountability, at the highest levels of the Administration.
The implications extend far beyond Gas-to-Energy. If the State encounters difficulties forecasting the financing requirements of a project receiving direct attention from the President, the Vice President, the Prime Minister and the Minister of Finance, what should citizens expect elsewhere? Should anyone be surprised when problems emerge at NDIA, CHPA, GPL, GWI, Public Works or the regional administrations? Those agencies operate with fewer resources, less political attention and weaker technical capacity. Gas-to-Energy should represent the gold standard of public administration. If the gold standard itself is revealing weaknesses in planning and execution, then the deficiencies evident elsewhere in the public sector do not surprise.
For decades governments explained failure by reference to a shortage of resources. That excuse has disappeared. Guyana now has money. It has access to technical expertise and advice. It has political stability. Most importantly, it has a project that enjoys the direct attention of the President, the Vice President, the Prime Minister and the Minister of Finance.
If under those circumstances one of the country’s most important projects still requires an additional $19 billion only months after the budget was approved, then Parliament and the public are entitled to ask difficult questions. Not about the project alone, but about the quality of the planning, budgeting and financial management that underpin it. And they expect answers from those responsible.
The Government has assembled what it should regard as its strongest team. The project has enjoyed every conceivable advantage. If this is the outcome, then the problem lies beyond money and resources. That is the ultimate disaster.
This column first appeared on chrisram.net. It is reproduced with the courtesy of its author.

