Every Man, Woman and Child in Guyana Must Become Oil-Minded – Column 148 – December 24, 2024

Canadian Sanctity of Contract case offers hope for Guyana: Part 3

Introduction

The two previous parts set out the parallels between the Canadian Churchill Falls case and Guyana’s 2016 PSA. Both deal with agreements governing natural resources and involve the legal principle of sanctity of contract, which is common to both jurisdictions. But any comparison without contextual references or relevant contrasts is simplistic and insufficient. The 2016 PSA is not merely about private commercial law but constitutes the unprecedented subordination of constitutional authority to such lesser law.

Beyond Commercial Terms – Invalidating the Constitution

The extraordinary scope of the implicit sovereignty surrender sets Guyana’s situation apart from Churchill Falls. Through the stability clause highlighted in Part 2, Guyana has effectively suspended its Parliament’s constitutional authority until 2057, barring any further force majeure extension or another bridging deed. I can find no precedent in the history of resource contracts globally for such nullification of a country’s sovereignty. This usurpation goes far beyond Churchill Falls’ commercial imbalances and into the realm of constitutional law.

The Constitution of Guyana vests Parliament with the authority and duty to legislate for the country’s peace, order and good government. Any agreement preventing Parliament from exercising this fundamental power for four decades raises questions about its constitutional validity. I repeat: the stability clause essentially places ExxonMobil beyond the reach of Guyana’s democratic institutions until 2057.

Churchill Judgment Supports Guyana

The Canadian Supreme Court’s emphasis on the equality of the contracting parties in Churchill Falls strengthens Guyana’s position. The Court specifically noted that “both parties to the contract were experienced, and they negotiated its clauses at length.” Contrast this with the 2016 PSA’s negotiation: two technical officers from the Guyana Geology and Mines Commission facing ExxonMobil’s battalion of experts at the company’s headquarters. This stark imbalance is documented in GGMC’s Commissioner’s widely available report following their return.

Churchill Falls became contentious because fixed electricity prices grew increasingly unfavourable to Newfoundland and Labrador over decades. While perhaps not optimal, the initial agreement was considered fair by both parties. Guyana’s situation is fundamentally different. The PSA’s terms were problematic from inception:

• A 2% royalty rate among the world’s lowest
• Up to 75% cost recovery before profit sharing
• Government payment of Exxon’s taxes
• Absence of standard ring-fencing provisions
• The bridging deed’s circumvention of statutory relinquishment requirements
• Most egregiously, the subordination of parliamentary authority to corporate interests

Article 31.2 – Guyana’s Stronger Hand

Perhaps the most significant distinction lies in the agreements’ provisions for modification. Churchill Falls contained no mechanism for adjustment. In contrast, Article 31.2 of Guyana’s PSA explicitly anticipates and provides for renegotiation. This crucial difference means Guyana need not rely solely on broader principles of contract law, equity or even constitutional law – the right to seek modifications is built into the agreement itself. This makes the excuse of the sanctity of contract a farcical and nonsensical red herring.

Constitutional Dimensions

While Churchill Falls raised questions of commercial fairness, Guyana’s PSA presents fundamental constitutional issues that go to the heart of the country’s democratic framework. The stability clause is not about sanctity – it suspends Parliament’s legislative authority over a strategic national resource for four decades. This extraordinary provision raises fundamental questions about whether any minister possesses the authority to fetter Parliament’s constitutional obligations to this degree.

Here is what makes it so farcical. The President appoints a minister giving him the portfolio over natural resources. The Minister then signs an agreement with a private party that suspends the authority of the National Assembly and that of the President who appointed him, and all the presidents and National Assemblies for the next forty years!

The Constitution’s grant of authority to Parliament to legislate for peace, order and good government is not a mere technical provision – it represents the foundational principle of democratic sovereignty. By attempting to place ExxonMobil beyond parliamentary reach until 2057, the stability clause creates a form of corporate sovereignty unprecedented in resource contracts. Even more extraordinary is the extension of this constraint to the Executive President, effectively creating a state within a state, immune from the normal operations of democratic governance.

The Scale of Control

Churchill Falls involved a single significant hydroelectric project. The 2016 PSA governs an area exceeding 6.6 million acres—more than 12% of Guyana’s territory – with multiple discoveries and prospects. This vast scale of resource control granted to ExxonMobil, combined with the constitutional implications, creates a situation unique in the annals of resource agreements.

The implications of this scale are profound. Through the bridging deed, ExxonMobil has secured control over an area larger than many countries, with the right to exploit any discoveries made over this vast expanse. The absence of ring-fencing provisions means each new discovery can be used to extend the period during which Guyana receives minimal returns from existing production. This creates a perpetual cycle of deferred benefits that could extend well beyond the formal agreement period.

Conclusion

The Churchill Falls judgment, far from being an obstacle to Guyana’s aspirations for a fairer deal, strengthens our case for renegotiation in several crucial ways. The court’s emphasis on equal bargaining power and extensive negotiations highlights precisely what was missing in the PSA’s formation. When combined with Article 31.2’s explicit provision for renegotiation and the serious constitutional questions raised by the stability clause, Guyana stands on firmer ground than Newfoundland ever did.

Moreover, while Churchill Falls became unfair through changing circumstances, Guyana’s PSA contained fundamental flaws from inception that strike at the heart of constitutional governance and democratic sovereignty. The scale of control ceded to ExxonMobil, both in terms of territory and governance, goes far beyond anything contemplated in Churchill Falls or, indeed, in most resource contracts globally.

The question is not whether Guyana has the legal basis to seek renegotiation – it incontrovertibly does – but whether there is the political will to pursue it.

Friday’s column will address the approach to renegotiation.

Every Man, Woman and Child in Guyana Must Become Oil-Minded – Column 147 – December 20, 2024

Canadian Sanctity of Contract case offers hope for Guyana: Part 2

Introduction

Last week’s part 1 of this mini-series dealt mainly with the court case and subsequent renegotiation of the Churchill Falls Hydro project in the Canadian province of Newfoundland and Labrador. In that case, the Canadian Supreme Court rejected an application for an increase in the fixed charge for electricity supplied to Quebec Hydro in exchange for the provision of loan guarantees and the undertaking to purchase all the power produced from a hydro project. For continuity, I repeat two passages from the judgment that support a case for renegotiation of the Exxon 2016 PSA.

  1. “The Court cannot change the content of the contract or require renegotiation,” emphasising that renegotiation must arise from the contract itself, as with the 2016 PSA.
  2. “There is neither inequality nor vulnerability in their (Churchill/Quebec Hydro) relationship. Both parties to the contract were experienced, and they negotiated its clauses at length.” As we shall see, that was not the case with the 2016 PSA.

The failure in the court was not the end of the matter. The parties thereafter successfully renegotiated the Agreement – a case of losing the battle but winning the war!

The ExxonMobil PSA

The Exxon PSA and Churchill Falls agreement differ significantly in how their imbalances arose. In Churchill Falls, what became a significant advantage for Hydro-Québec emerged gradually through market changes under a 65-year fixed price contract that was initially considered fair. In contrast, the PSA’s key provisions reflected fundamental disadvantages from the outset.

Exxon’s discovery of oil in 2015 coincided with heightened vulnerability arising from Venezuela’s claim over two-thirds of Guyana. The oil giant exploited this vulnerability by insisting on terms and concessions unknown in any historical post-discovery petroleum contract. The need and the urgency, coupled with Guyana’s lack of technical expertise, left the government at a disadvantage in what passed for negotiations, conducted mainly at Exxon’s headquarters on a visit by two technical officers from the Guyana Geology and Mines Commission against an army of Exxon’s experts. The GGMC’s report on those negotiations is on public record.

The PSA’s final terms reflect this imbalance. The royalty rate, set at just 2%, is among the lowest globally. Exxon can recover up to 75% of annual revenues as production costs, including a portion of capital and decommissioning costs, before profit-sharing begins, leaving Guyana with minimal immediate financial benefits.

The PSA also defies accounting principles and logic with no provision for ring-fencing, a standard feature in resource contracts. Without such provisions, Exxon has been claiming costs from future projects against existing operations, delaying Guyana’s share of profits and their true economic value. This creates a sustained cycle of deferred earnings, locking the government into a position of dependence on ExxonMobil’s accounting practices.

Perhaps most egregious of all is a provision requiring the government to pay ExxonMobil’s income taxes and to provide it with a certificate that it (the oil companies) has paid such taxes in Guyana.

The Bridging Deed and Procedural Failures

Beyond the financial terms, the PSA’s renewal process raises even more serious concerns about governance and compliance with the law. Under Guyana’s Petroleum (Exploration and Production) Act, companies must relinquish unexplored areas at the end of their license period, retaining only those blocks where discoveries have been made. This provision ensures that unexplored resources revert to state control, allowing the government to attract new investors and maintain competition. However, through a bridging deed, ExxonMobil could bypass this requirement, retaining control over the entire Stabroek Block for forty years and fifty-seven years in total.

The Clyde & Co. report, commissioned to review the PSA, revealed troubling details about the renewal process. According to the report, ExxonMobil was directly involved in drafting the Cabinet paper that justified the bridging deed. This extraordinary corporate influence raises fundamental questions about whether the government acted independently or ceded control to ExxonMobil in exchange for perceived short-term security.

Governance and Sovereignty

Beyond these economic and procedural flaws are deeper issues of governance and sovereignty. Article 32.1—Stability of Agreement freezes the terms of the Agreement effectively for forty-one years (2016 – 2057), nullifying Parliament’s authority over the oil sector. That clause prohibits any changes to fiscal terms or other conditions without ExxonMobil’s consent, thereby placing Exxon outside the reach of Guyana’s democratic institutions.

Guyana’s Constitution vests in Parliament the authority and the duty to legislate for the country’s peace, order and good government, without qualification or reservation. Yet, a minister appointed by the President consented to the Stability Clause, preventing Parliament from exercising its authority – undermining the country’s constitutional framework and raising fundamental questions about the constitutionality of such agreements. What is particularly unprecedented and outlandish is that the full extent of this ouster and incapacitation lasts fifty-seven years, including the seventeen years under the Janet Jagan approved 1999 Agreement. And second, the incapacitation includes the all-powerful Executive President!

Addressing the flaws in the PSA requires more than renegotiating financial terms. It demands a broader effort to restore the integrity of Guyana’s resource governance framework. This includes revisiting the legality of the bridging deed, holding those involved in its approval accountable, and reaffirming the government’s commitment to transparency and compliance with the law.

Comparing Contexts and Outcomes

While both agreements highlight the risks of imbalanced resource contracts, their differences are stark. Churchill Falls became contentious due to inequities that grew over decades as Hydro-Québec’s fixed pricing arrangements became increasingly favourable to one party. In contrast, Guyana’s PSA reflected significant disadvantages from the outset, with terms heavily favouring ExxonMobil and constraining Guyana’s ability to adapt or renegotiate.

Another critical difference lies in the governance frameworks. Newfoundland and Labrador lacked the legal tools to challenge Hydro-Québec effectively during the original term of the Churchill Falls agreement, relying instead on eventual expiration to renegotiate. In Guyana’s case, the Agreement in Article 31.2 anticipates and permits renegotiation.

Finally, the scale of resource control differs. The Churchill Falls contract involved a single, albeit massive, hydropower project. Exxon’s PSA governs an extensive offshore oil block with multiple discoveries and prospects over an area of more than 12% of Guyana’s territory. This gives ExxonMobil an enduring and enormous control far greater than Hydro-Québec’s over Churchill Falls’ electricity.

Next Tuesday’s column 148 will examine the lessons from Churchill and conclude with why that case offers much more than hope for the renegotiation of Exxon PSA 2016.

Every Man, Woman and Child in Guyana Must Become Oil-Minded – Column 146 – December 17, 2024

Part 1: Canadian Sanctity of Contract case offers hope for Guyana

Introduction

Contrary to the clear wishes of the Ali Administration and its sidekick ExxonMobil, the call for the renegotiation of the 2016 Production Sharing Agreement (Exxon PSA) will not likely end soon. I would not be surprised if a cohort of youths in the year 2040 would be asking why Raphael Trotman signed such a diabolical Agreement and why Attorney General of the stature and ability possessed by the incumbent Anil Nandlall S.C. often takes Exxon’s side in any litigation involving the company. We will answer both questions later in this mini-series in which I am again making the case for renegotiation of the Agreement. I do so prompted by a letter written by Terence M. Yhip, a member of the Guyana Diaspora appearing in the 15th. December 2024 Sunday Stabroek, highlighting a compelling parallel between two agreements: Canada’s Churchill Falls hydropower contract (Churchill Falls) and the Exxon PSA.

Ironically, the only error in Mr. Yhip’s letter is his assertion that the Exxon PSA’s life cycle is twenty years and, therefore, ends in 2036. In fact, as of today, it ends in 2057 after including a ten-year exploration period, a one-year COVID-19 force majeure, and a thirty-year production period.

The two agreements, each with its own facts but subject to similar legal systems, demonstrate the long-term implications of resource contracts negotiated under imbalanced conditions. While Churchill Falls is a tale of financial inequity that emerged over decades, Guyana’s PSA presents a broader set of challenges – economic, procedural and constitutional – that were evident from the outset.

Background

The Churchill Falls agreement, signed in 1969, was transformative for the Canadian province of Newfoundland and Labrador. The province wanted to monetise its vast hydroelectric potential but lacked the financial resources and technical expertise to develop the Churchill Falls hydropower plant. Hydro-Québec offered to finance the necessary infrastructure in exchange for the right to purchase most of the electricity generated at fixed prices for 65 years. For the province, the deal brought immediate development benefits. For the company, it guaranteed a stable and affordable energy source to support Quebec’s industrial expansion.

Initially, the agreement appeared equitable. Both parties assumed risks, and Newfoundland lacked other options to unlock its hydroelectric potential. However, as global energy prices rose sharply in subsequent decades, the fixed pricing terms became increasingly unfavourable for Newfoundland. Hydro-Québec profited immensely, earning billions by reselling Churchill Falls electricity at market rates, while Newfoundland’s revenues remained tied to terms negotiated decades earlier.

By the 2010s, this disparity had become untenable for Newfoundland. The province sought renegotiation of the agreement under the principle of good faith, which requires contracting parties to act honestly and fairly toward one another. Newfoundland argued unsuccessfully that the economic inequities undermined the agreement’s spirit and intent.

The judgment

However, in 2018, the Supreme Court of Canada upheld the agreement under the doctrine of sanctity of contract, which prioritises stability over fairness.


Interestingly, while the judgment shows Chief Justice McLachlin as present, it also states -without offering any reason – that he took no part in the judgment. As we shall soon see, the ruling was not unanimous.

The court’s majority opinion emphasised:

“Good faith does not compel a party to forego advantages freely negotiated in the contract. Courts cannot rewrite contracts to address inequities that arise over time.”

Despite affirming the enforceability of contracts, the decision was not unanimous, failing to address the ethical concerns surrounding resource inequities. Justice Malcolm Rowe, a native of Newfoundland, dissenting, warned against the rigidity of this approach, arguing that

“Equity cannot be divorced from justice. A rigid application of contractual terms may serve the letter of the law, but it can erode public confidence in the fairness of resource agreements.”

The judicial loss did not deter Newfoundland, which persisted. It brought the parties together to successfully renegotiate the contract in 2024, resulting in improved revenue-sharing terms while preserving Quebec’s energy stability. This outcome demonstrated that even the most rigid agreements can be revisited through persistence and negotiation.

The Churchill Falls case also offers valuable lessons in the power dynamics of resource contracts. The court also considered the extensive negotiation between the parties, the absence of any provision for adjusting the rate for the electricity supplied, and any renegotiation clause.

Conclusion

The Churchill Falls case illustrates that a court loss is not the end of the road. Public pressure, combined with strategic persistence, can compel change even in the face of rigid legal doctrines like the sanctity of contract. Newfoundland’s eventual success in renegotiating its agreement in 2024 underscores the power of public sentiment, sustained advocacy, and strong leadership to overcome inequities.

The next column will address the Exxon 2016 Agreement drawing comparisons and differences with the Churchill Falls Agreement.

Business and Economic Commentary by Christopher Ram Part 19

December 15, 2024

The Natural Resource Fund Debate – That Demands Accountability and Civility

The public debate and exchanges surrounding the Natural Resource Fund (NRF) highlight concerns about governance and the need for principled public discourse, particularly on grave national importance. At the centre is Dr Terrence Campbell, the holder of a PhD in Business Administration and a successful entrepreneur. In a letter to the media in his capacity as a member of the Investment Committee of the Natural Resource Fund, Campbell raised issues about transparency and compliance with the NRF Act. That letter emphasised the requirements of Section 16(2), which mandates that all withdrawals must meet specific criteria: financing national development priorities and major natural disasters.


Instead of prompting constructive debate, Campbell was personally attacked by anonymous bloggers and partisans who offered little substance while serving as a prelude to Vice President Bharrat Jagdeo’s direct intervention.

Jagdeo’s Missteps

In an initial comment, Mr Jagdeo accused Campbell of racism and, more recently, dismissed Campbell’s concerns by invoking a contrast between their respective upbringings. Jagdeo portrayed himself as humbly rooted on the East Coast of Demerara, implying that Campbell was urban and privileged. Correcting the Vice President, Campbell noted that he came out of the distant community of Mahdia with all its attendant challenges.


Taken together, Jagdeo’s statements reveal a dangerously flawed interpretation of the NRF Act. He asserted that detailed expenditure tracking was only necessary for emergency withdrawals, ignoring Section 16(2)’s clear stipulation that all withdrawals must meet specified criteria and undergo oversight. Emergency spending, governed by supplementary appropriation bills, requires a separate process distinct from the scrutiny of annual budgetary allocations. Jagdeo’s conflation of national priorities with general budget items further undermined his position, raising questions about his familiarity and knowledge of the law.

Campbell’s Measured Response


Campbell’s reply demonstrated civility and focus. While acknowledging Jagdeo’s slight concession – from declaring tracking “difficult” to agreeing to track emergencies – Campbell questioned why the same standard could not extend to all NRF withdrawals. Campbell emphasised that the national budget, filled with discretionary items, is not synonymous with national development priorities. He reiterated the NRF Act’s requirement for specificity and accountability, challenging Jagdeo to provide a legal basis for his distinction.

The Governance Gap


This debate underscores a broader concern about the NRF’s governance. Campbell’s call for the NRF Board and the Public Accountability and Oversight Committee to discharge their statutory duties reflects a commitment to the rule of law. These entities must ensure that all withdrawals align with the criteria set out in Section 16(2). If the government wishes to bypass these requirements, it should approach Parliament to amend the law – not reinterpret it to suit its agenda.


Jagdeo’s familiarity with the NRF Act adds another layer to the critique. He has been successively junior Finance Minister, Finance Minister, President and Vice President since 1992. He also led the attack on the Coalition Government’s NRF. He was in the National Assembly when the Ali Administration passed its version of the NRF in a late-night session of the National Assembly. And, of course, he has access to the Hansard of that debate.

Therefore, he should fully understand the distinctions between national priorities, emergency measures, and their respective legislative processes. His current misrepresentation undermines the principles of accountability outlined in the Act and emphasised in the Explanatory Memorandum, which committed the NRF to international best practices, including transparency and public reporting.

A Lesson for Public Discourse


Campbell’s approach offers a valuable example of how national debates should be conducted. Despite personal attacks, he remained composed and focused on the law. His critics, including anonymous bloggers, should note that public discourse benefits from substance, not ad hominem attacks. Jagdeo and his defenders would also do well to emulate Campbell’s civility and clarity.

Fixing the problems


There is no question in my mind that the Vice President’s use of words like “balkanisation” and “difficulty” and his subsequent concession on national disasters makes his interpretation less flawed or less mistaken. The Ali Administration needs to step back from this grave error and restore confidence in the entire NRF framework and operation. It must ensure that all withdrawals comply with Section 16(2)’s criteria without artificial distinctions between spending categories, that the NRF Board and oversight committees be independent, and that detailed public reporting on all NRF expenditures – whether for national priorities or emergencies – must become standard.


Public discourse must also rise above personal attacks. By fostering a culture of constructive engagement, Guyana can ensure that the NRF fulfils its potential as a tool for sustainable development and intergenerational equity.

Conclusion


The NRF is a historically unique opportunity for Guyana to secure its future. Its governance must reflect the highest transparency, accountability, and legal compliance standards, consistent with the Santiago principles. Jagdeo’s flawed interpretation of the NRF Act and the uncritical defences from his supporters highlight the urgent need for a course correction.


As someone who has been engaging in public discourses for nearly forty years, I found Campbell’s intervention bringing a much-needed sense of lucidity, decency and renewal. We all need to follow his example and commit to principled debate, ensuring that the NRF serves the people – not the politics of one man.

Every Man, Woman and Child in Guyana Must Become Oil-Minded – Column 145 – December 13, 2024

Referendum Rejection Raises Questions About Government’s Commitment to Oil Contract Renegotiation

Introduction

The recent dismissal by Vice President Jagdeo of a potential referendum on the ExxonMobil contract renegotiation exposes deeper questions about the government’s true commitment to securing better terms for Guyana’s oil resources. His announcement ruling out a referendum alongside the 2025 elections – notably made without any statement from President Ali – adds another layer to the administration’s puzzling and anti-nationalist approach to contract renegotiation.


A recent survey I conducted showed that 94% of Guyanese support the renegotiation of the Stabroek Block PSA, presenting a compelling mandate for action. This overwhelming public sentiment has made the referendum question unavoidable, though it would not usually arise in relation to a matter of this nature. The call for a referendum has gained oxygen only because the Government and Jagdeo have refused to do what they promised to do and what the 2016 Agreement expressly allows. Article 32.1 of the Production Sharing Agreement explicitly provides a mechanism for changes to the Agreement. Yet, after four years in office, the government hasn’t taken even the preliminary step to initiate the process.

Constitutional and statutory disorder


The Government’s resistance to public involvement extends beyond mere inaction. Through the Vice President, the oil minister and the Attorney General, it has actively stymied citizens’ efforts to bring Exxon & Co to heel by taking the side of Exxon in any legal action against exploitation, granting Exxon every space and decision it requires and demonstrating a general failure to hold Exxon accountable. This stance starkly contrasts with Jagdeo’s pre-2020 declarations that “they sold us out to the foreigners” and his vow to renegotiate what he then termed a lopsided contract.


What makes this situation particularly troubling is that such a consequential decision about Guyana’s oil patrimony was announced not by President Ali, who holds constitutional authority over such matters, or by the Prime Minister, who is constitutionally the First Vice President, but by his Vice President. This irregular chain of command raises serious questions about who truly drives Guyana’s oil sector policy. The President’s silence while his Vice President makes pronouncements on matters of supreme national importance represents a troubling abdication of executive responsibility. The Constitution vests the President with executive authority to ensure clear, accountable leadership – not a ceremonial role.


This breakdown in proper constitutional order extends beyond the Executive. When questioned about a potential referendum, GECOM’s Chairperson Claudette Singh remarkably passed the policy question to her CEO Vishnu Persaud – a technical officer with no constitutional authority to make such determinations. That Persaud then felt empowered to declare there isn’t “the slightest indication” of the need for a referendum GECOM “should focus on” mirrors the same governance dysfunction we see with Jagdeo making pronouncements that should come from President Ali. Persaud’s subsequent claims about required legislative changes, without specifying what changes, appears coordinated with Jagdeo’s “too complex” narrative, creating artificial barriers to public participation in this crucial national decision.

The Path Forward


The power of a constitutional referendum extends far beyond mere democratic process – it represents a potent negotiating tool that the government seems determined to avoid. A clear mandate from the people would provide unprecedented moral and political authority in any renegotiation attempts and demonstrate to international observers that Guyana can make sovereign decisions about its resources. The coordinated resistance from both government and electoral officials suggests a deliberate strategy of avoiding public empowerment that could force their hand with ExxonMobil.


As Guyana races toward becoming one of the world’s most significant per-capita oil producers, the synchronised opposition to a public vote from Vice President Jagdeo and the GECOM CEO, without intervention from their constitutional superiors, exposes a systematic effort to keep decisions about Guyana’s oil wealth within a tight circle of influence. Instead of embracing overwhelming public support to strengthen Guyana’s negotiating position, the administration has retreated behind claims that a referendum would be “too complex” to handle alongside general elections – an astounding admission of incompetence now being reinforced by bureaucratic obstacles from GECOM’s CEO.

Conclusion


If Guyanese society continues to accept this erosion of proper constitutional governance without protest, we risk not just our oil wealth but the entire framework of accountable government that should protect it.


The coordinated opposition to public participation in this critical national decision reveals a deeper malaise in our governance. When technical officers like GECOM’s CEO can make policy pronouncements, when a Vice President can dismiss constitutional mechanisms without presidential authority, and when the nation’s most valuable resource remains under a contract that 94% of citizens want renegotiated – and society remains largely mute – we are witnessing more than just institutional failure. This silence in the face of constitutional disorder sets a dangerous precedent for Guyana’s democratic future.